Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 23.782606 26.988079 30.489007 34.600182 39.300649 44.512828 50.738516
2025-01-26 19.469729 23.930484 29.224896 35.988998 44.426039 54.635076 67.974376
2025-02-02 16.782031 22.013041 28.658470 37.759999 49.964611 65.853454 88.252022
2025-02-09 14.443463 19.998233 27.466778 38.311210 53.770994 75.191534 107.422496
2025-02-16 12.301126 17.832102 25.636558 37.550510 55.454784 81.638319 123.342218
2025-02-23 10.681143 16.121882 24.133022 36.917654 57.054861 87.962653 139.780606
2025-03-02 9.424739 14.751148 22.900544 36.438883 58.693769 94.393384 157.129293
2025-03-09 8.496270 13.748947 22.074478 36.429133 60.980927 102.020505 177.394586
2025-03-16 7.693716 12.838317 21.262527 36.295868 62.974283 109.315118 198.021179
2025-03-23 7.272995 12.502000 21.339006 37.645895 67.645130 121.753404 229.634519
2025-03-30 6.711935 11.854346 20.799385 37.820403 70.188332 130.634717 255.795169
2025-04-06 6.067368 10.984220 19.765538 36.952532 70.648144 135.627185 274.971665
2025-04-13 5.535153 10.277387 18.978868 36.510042 71.978160 142.684782 299.931287
2025-04-20 5.281029 10.063709 19.086948 37.818299 76.969088 157.758069 344.382588
2025-04-27 5.103190 9.975490 19.422117 39.618262 83.210211 176.292892 399.597888
2025-05-04 4.802782 9.610791 19.170284 40.171864 86.875096 189.826412 445.685367
2025-05-11 4.396702 8.987635 18.327114 39.362096 87.435668 196.552313 476.712794
2025-05-18 4.047216 8.444855 17.591195 38.693136 88.215919 203.866736 510.403191
2025-05-25 3.747769 7.977028 16.963813 38.188558 89.303733 212.039353 547.664270
2025-06-01 3.517502 7.635390 16.573121 38.177731 91.562327 223.351311 595.161394
2025-06-08 3.298026 7.295225 16.149749 38.037482 93.481570 234.081428 642.972401
2025-06-15 3.208520 7.239559 16.363172 39.455932 99.512715 256.220804 726.951131
2025-06-22 3.040524 6.985416 16.090530 39.639270 102.374247 270.413441 790.443617